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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£112,723,000
The crowdHeld 12% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 622 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 104 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 621 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 24, 26) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 23 July 2021 — its closest relative in 621 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (6 September 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 4 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 117 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24, 26–27. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →24 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 538,702 winners, 12% fewer than the 610k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 1 | €164,878 |
| rang3 | 3 | €24,522 |
| rang4 | 22 | €1,183 |
| rang5 | 429 | €100 |
| rang6 | 993 | €42.50 |
| rang7 | 895 | €33.50 |
| rang8 | 14,226 | €10.00 |
| rang9 | 17,757 | €9.70 |
| rang10 | 41,440 | €8.10 |
| rang11 | 71,175 | €5.10 |
| rang12 | 242,834 | €4.80 |
| rang13 | 538,702 | €3.50 |