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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£88,587,174
The crowdHeld 11% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 827 of 1,048 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 83 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 138 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 826 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 11, 42) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 29 March 2022 — its closest relative in 826 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (23 August 2024): 47 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 109 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →42 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈20M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,036,127 winners, 11% more than the 932k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,036,127 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 444,203 | £4.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 108,715 | £5.30 |
| Match 3 | 66,704 | £7.20 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 20,589 | £11.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 29,083 | £8.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,394 | £47.40 |
| Match 4 | 1,368 | £33.90 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 626 | £99.80 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 36 | £943 |
| Match 5 | 5 | £115,066 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £88,587,174 |