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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£125,534,587
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 999 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 April 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 89% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 100 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 166 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 998 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 29, 47) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 20 May 2025 — its closest relative in 998 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 April 2026): 47 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 145 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →40 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈25M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 555,464 winners, 11% more than the 498k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,139,139 | £2.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 555,464 | £3.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 130,852 | £4.90 |
| Match 3 | 76,810 | £7.00 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 23,601 | £10.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 37,302 | £7.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,543 | £47.70 |
| Match 4 | 1,645 | £31.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 819 | £85.10 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 34 | £1,114 |
| Match 5 | 10 | £12,159 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £104,045 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3 | £41,844,862 |