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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£124,041,720
The crowdHeld 20% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 3 of 1,048 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 October 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 2 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 0 of 5 numbers and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 30 September 2016 — its closest relative in 2 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 September 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 97 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →Every number here is appearing for the first time.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈32M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 1,345 winners, 29% more than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,770,619 | £2.40 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 764,835 | £4.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 172,852 | £6.90 |
| Match 3 | 126,962 | £6.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 34,247 | £12.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 58,969 | £7.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,789 | £32.80 |
| Match 4 | 2,483 | £65.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,345 | £86.00 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 56 | £1,938 |
| Match 5 | 11 | £20,172 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 7 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £124,041,720 |