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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£100,932,446
The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 828 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 83 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 138 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 827 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (24, 27, 42) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 30 March 2021 — its closest relative in 827 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (27 August 2024): 42 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 4 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 129 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →3 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈36M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 2,702 winners, 7% more than the 2.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,536,840 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 687,522 | £3.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 189,326 | £4.30 |
| Match 3 | 111,392 | £6.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 37,184 | £8.80 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 50,222 | £7.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,702 | £34.50 |
| Match 4 | 2,523 | £25.90 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,148 | £76.80 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 48 | £998 |
| Match 5 | 14 | £10,983 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £131,585 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £100,932,446 |