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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£22,605,876
The crowdHeld 41% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 501 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 25 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 50 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 500 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 11, 22) and 2 of 2 stars with the draw of 28 February 2020 — its closest relative in 500 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (9 July 2021): 6 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 4 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 52 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 3.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang9 — 9,525 winners, 107% more than the 4.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €26,482,986 |
| rang2 | 1 | €99,002 |
| rang3 | 5 | €6,805 |
| rang4 | 12 | €538 |
| rang5 | 350 | €53.80 |
| rang6 | 383 | €41.80 |
| rang7 | 699 | €19.00 |
| rang8 | 4,032 | €12.70 |
| rang9 | 9,525 | €7.00 |
| rang10 | 20,139 | €6.30 |
| rang11 | 17,286 | €7.00 |
| rang12 | 103,746 | €4.20 |
| rang13 | 208,484 | €3.40 |