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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£43,386,309
The crowdHeld 23% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 822 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 82 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 137 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 821 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 25, 44) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 18 August 2023 — its closest relative in 821 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (6 August 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 146 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →21 had not appeared for 53 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈20M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 87,750 winners, 35% more than the 65k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,148,588 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 454,827 | £4.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 108,813 | £5.30 |
| Match 3 | 87,750 | £5.40 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 21,243 | £10.80 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 33,542 | £7.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,481 | £44.40 |
| Match 4 | 1,836 | £25.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 844 | £73.80 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 33 | £1,025 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £18,103 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £116,188 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £43,386,309 |