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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£46,934,848
The crowdHeld 49% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 481 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 67% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 48 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 480 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 13, 28) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 16 November 2018 — its closest relative in 480 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 April 2021): 28, 46 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 11 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 100 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →10 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 17,079 winners, 68% more than the 10k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €188,140 |
| rang3 | 4 | €10,993 |
| rang4 | 7 | €1,284 |
| rang5 | 149 | €113 |
| rang6 | 265 | €58.50 |
| rang7 | 411 | €31.20 |
| rang8 | 3,426 | €15.40 |
| rang9 | 6,266 | €10.60 |
| rang10 | 17,079 | €7.60 |
| rang11 | 17,026 | €7.60 |
| rang12 | 83,782 | €5.50 |
| rang13 | 216,940 | €3.50 |