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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£77,977,112
The crowdHeld 68% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 406 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 August 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 41 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 405 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 10, 42) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 16 August 2019 — its closest relative in 405 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 August 2020): 42 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 129 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →19 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 271,614 winners, 68% more than the 161k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 3 | €157,447 |
| rang3 | 1 | €36,798 |
| rang4 | 5 | €2,388 |
| rang5 | 127 | €158 |
| rang6 | 224 | €77.00 |
| rang7 | 382 | €43.30 |
| rang8 | 3,681 | €18.50 |
| rang9 | 6,560 | €12.80 |
| rang10 | 18,764 | €8.80 |
| rang11 | 18,838 | €8.80 |
| rang12 | 98,309 | €6.00 |
| rang13 | 271,614 | €3.70 |