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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£62,263,298
The crowdHeld 13% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 709 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 67% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 71 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 118 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 708 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 28, 42) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 30 June 2020 — its closest relative in 708 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 July 2023): 2, 11 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 4 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 131 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →42 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang9 — 6,291 winners, 18% fewer than the 7.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €36,621,161 |
| rang2 | 0 | €195,184 |
| rang3 | 2 | €22,809 |
| rang4 | 7 | €991 |
| rang5 | 118 | €138 |
| rang6 | 340 | €49.90 |
| rang7 | 305 | €44.90 |
| rang8 | 5,380 | €11.70 |
| rang9 | 6,291 | €11.90 |
| rang10 | 14,590 | €9.70 |
| rang11 | 28,752 | €5.50 |
| rang12 | 93,507 | €5.60 |
| rang13 | 213,613 | €4.00 |