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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,805,300
The crowdHeld 22% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 743 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 November 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 66% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 74 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 124 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 742 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 10, 30) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 19 November 2019 — its closest relative in 742 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 November 2023): 8, 39 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 98 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →30 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 13,077 winners, 25% more than the 10k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang3 | 1 | €189,164 |
| rang4 | 8 | €1,155 |
| rang5 | 109 | €115 |
| rang6 | 221 | €65.10 |
| rang7 | 297 | €34.10 |
| rang8 | 3,448 | €15.50 |
| rang9 | 5,435 | €11.00 |
| rang10 | 13,077 | €8.30 |
| rang11 | 17,513 | €7.50 |
| rang12 | 74,958 | €5.40 |
| rang13 | 182,663 | €3.60 |