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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£181,073,416
The crowdHeld 25% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 987 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 March 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 78% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 99 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 164 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 986 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (27, 44, 50) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 19 January 2024 — its closest relative in 986 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (6 March 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 147 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →12 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈31M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,744,382 winners, 25% more than the 1.4M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,744,382 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 704,669 | £3.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 163,108 | £5.40 |
| Match 3 | 119,072 | £6.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 32,452 | £10.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 48,880 | £8.00 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,306 | £43.60 |
| Match 4 | 2,598 | £27.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,125 | £84.60 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 52 | £994 |
| Match 5 | 10 | £16,602 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £355,165 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £181,073,416 |