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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£22,790,504
The crowdHeld 23% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 1,015 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 June 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 101 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 169 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,014 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (25, 31, 45) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 24 October 2025 — its closest relative in 1,014 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 June 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 156 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →45 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈20M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 48,177 winners, 26% fewer than the 65k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 714,942 | £2.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 325,136 | £4.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 108,392 | £3.80 |
| Match 3 | 48,177 | £7.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 19,927 | £8.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 21,848 | £8.40 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,410 | £33.30 |
| Match 4 | 1,095 | £30.10 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 496 | £89.60 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 22 | £1,097 |
| Match 5 | 7 | £58,409 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £22,790,504 |