LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 12 March 2023

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 22
  2. 34
  3. 49
  4. 50
  5. 54
  6. 2

Jackpot€5,800,000

The crowdHeld 42% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 679 of 869 under them

← 2023-03-05All recent draws2023-03-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed22 34 49 50 54 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 13% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd10th
  • low10th
  • widest gap32th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread30th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 63 of each

2272times
3484times
4964times
5058times
54

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-12

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€7.1Mto 382k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+11 winnerchance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 5+182%€5.9M
  • 2+05.1%€363K
  • 0+15.0%€359.8K
  • 6 other tiers7.6%€545.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 5+11≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

62times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 68 of each

269times

Every number was expected about that many times after 678 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (34, 50, 54) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 April 2022 — its closest relative in 678 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 March 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

209

The numbers add up to 209 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 49–50. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,874,400
  • 5+01≈ 1.1 by chance€179,886
  • 4+135≈ 31 by chance€934
  • 4+0192≈ 277 by chance€199
  • 3+1858≈ 1.5k by chance€50.83
  • 3+07,648≈ 13k by chance€18.53
  • 2+112,493≈ 23k by chance€8.73
  • 2+0120,993≈ 209k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1239,846≈ 240k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 12,493 winners, 46% fewer than the 23k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+11€5,874,400
    5+01€179,886
    4+135€934
    4+0192€199
    3+1858€50.83
    3+07,648€18.53
    2+112,493€8.73
    2+0120,993€3.00
    0+1239,846€1.50