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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 29 January 2017

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 40
  3. 41
  4. 49
  5. 51
  6. 9

Jackpot€5,440,184

The crowdHeld 46% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 370 of 868 under them

← 2017-01-22All recent draws2017-02-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 40 41 49 51 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 January 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 13% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd90th
  • low10th
  • widest gap83th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread44th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each

1542times
4031times
4135times
4935times
51

Prize breakdown · 2017-01-29

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 415k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • 5+015%€201.3K
  • 2+027%€376.7K
  • 0+129%€401.4K
  • 5 other tiers29%€408.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

36times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 37 of each

944times

Every number was expected about that many times after 369 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 49, 51) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 February 2016 — its closest relative in 369 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 January 2017): 40 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

196

The numbers add up to 196 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+02≈ 1.3 by chance€100,645
  • 4+114≈ 34 by chance€2,614
  • 4+0160≈ 309 by chance€267
  • 3+1761≈ 1.7k by chance€64.12
  • 3+07,365≈ 15k by chance€21.53
  • 2+113,346≈ 26k by chance€9.14
  • 2+0125,556≈ 233k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1267,627≈ 268k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 761 winners, 54% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€100,645
    4+114€2,614
    4+0160€267
    3+1761€64.12
    3+07,365€21.53
    2+113,346€9.14
    2+0125,556€3.00
    0+1267,627€1.50