LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 12 November 2017

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 30
  3. 37
  4. 44
  5. 49
  6. 4

Jackpot€15,600,000

The crowdHeld 43% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 411 of 868 under them

← 2017-11-05All recent draws2017-11-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 30 37 44 49 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 November 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd66th
  • low10th
  • widest gap57th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread51th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 38 of each

1149times
3027times
3736times
4433times
49

Prize breakdown · 2017-11-12

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 442k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 5+013%€179.9K
  • 2+030%€414.3K
  • 0+130%€418.6K
  • 5 other tiers27%€365.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.15 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

36times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 41 of each

430times

Every number was expected about that many times after 410 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 37, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 November 2014 — its closest relative in 410 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 November 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

171

The numbers add up to 171 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

49 had not appeared for 41 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 1.3 by chance
€89,939
  • 4+124≈ 36 by chance€1,363
  • 4+0163≈ 323 by chance€234
  • 3+1944≈ 1.7k by chance€46.19
  • 3+08,560≈ 15k by chance€16.56
  • 2+115,525≈ 27k by chance€7.02
  • 2+0138,094≈ 243k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1279,086≈ 279k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 944 winners, 45% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€89,939
    4+124€1,363
    4+0163€234
    3+1944€46.19
    3+08,560€16.56
    2+115,525€7.02
    2+0138,094€3.00
    0+1279,086€1.50