LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 21 February 2016

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 34
  3. 37
  4. 49
  5. 51
  6. 8

Jackpot€8,389,979

The crowdHeld 43% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 321 of 868 under them

← 2016-02-14All recent draws2016-02-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 34 37 49 51 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 February 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.

  • sum92th
  • odd90th
  • low10th
  • widest gap57th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread44th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

1535times
3433times
3727times
4931times
51

Prize breakdown · 2016-02-21

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.5Mto 456k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 4+116%€235.4K
  • 2+029%€428.8K
  • 0+129%€431.6K
  • 4 other tiers25%€368.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.15 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

32times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 32 of each

835times

Every number was expected about that many times after 320 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (37, 49, 51) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 November 2014 — its closest relative in 320 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 February 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

186

The numbers add up to 186 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 1.4 by chance
no winners
  • 4+124≈ 37 by chance€9,806
  • 4+0176≈ 333 by chance€240
  • 3+1865≈ 1.8k by chance€55.81
  • 3+08,791≈ 16k by chance€17.85
  • 2+114,982≈ 28k by chance€8.06
  • 2+0142,924≈ 250k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1287,753≈ 288k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 865 winners, 51% fewer than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+124€9,806
    4+0176€240
    3+1865€55.81
    3+08,791€17.85
    2+114,982€8.06
    2+0142,924€3.00
    0+1287,753€1.50