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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 11 November 2012

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 28
  3. 39
  4. 44
  5. 49
  6. 3

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 50% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 150 of 868 under them

← 2012-11-04All recent draws2012-11-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 28 39 44 49 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 November 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.

  • sum83th
  • odd34th
  • low10th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread55th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each

1011times
2817times
3911times
4411times
49

Prize breakdown · 2012-11-11

  • Lines in play≈ 6.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.9Mto 622k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • 5+013%€252.3K
  • 2+028%€534.2K
  • 0+132%€616.6K
  • 5 other tiers27%€512.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

14times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

310times

Every number was expected about that many times after 149 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (10, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 July 2011 — its closest relative in 149 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 November 2012): 10 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

170

The numbers add up to 170 — the 82th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.9 by chance€252,292
  • 4+121≈ 53 by chance€2,184
  • 4+0191≈ 475 by chance€280
  • 3+11,132≈ 2.5k by chance€54.03
  • 3+010,695≈ 23k by chance€18.59
  • 2+120,777≈ 40k by chance€7.36
  • 2+0178,074≈ 357k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1411,059≈ 411k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 1,132 winners, 55% fewer than the 2.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€252,292
    4+121€2,184
    4+0191€280
    3+11,132€54.03
    3+010,695€18.59
    2+120,777€7.36
    2+0178,074€3.00
    0+1411,059€1.50