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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 23 February 2025

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 19
  2. 40
  3. 42
  4. 49
  5. 50
  6. 5

Jackpot€12,800,000

The crowdHeld 55% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 781 of 869 under them

← 2025-02-16All recent draws2025-03-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed19 40 42 49 50 + 52 Nov 2026, 00:41 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 February 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd34th
  • low10th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread27th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 72 of each

1976times
4069times
4268times
4973times
50

Prize breakdown · 2025-02-23

  • Lines in play≈ 5.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.5Mto 479k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • 5+013%€192.9K
  • 2+026%€386.2K
  • 0+133%€488.2K
  • 5 other tiers27%€391.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

70times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 78 of each

574times

Every number was expected about that many times after 780 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (40, 42, 49) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 July 2018 — its closest relative in 780 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 February 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

200

The numbers add up to 200 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 49–50. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

50 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 23% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.5 by chance€192,884
  • 4+113≈ 42 by chance€2,698
  • 4+0146≈ 376 by chance€280
  • 3+1910≈ 2.0k by chance€51.38
  • 3+07,831≈ 18k by chance€19.41
  • 2+115,929≈ 31k by chance€7.34
  • 2+0128,727≈ 283k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1325,447≈ 325k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 7,831 winners, 57% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€192,884
    4+113€2,698
    4+0146€280
    3+1910€51.38
    3+07,831€19.41
    2+115,929€7.34
    2+0128,727€3.00
    0+1325,447€1.50