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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 24 March 2024

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 29
  3. 30
  4. 44
  5. 49
  6. 2

Jackpot€10,900,000

The crowdHeld 37% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 733 of 869 under them

← 2024-03-17All recent draws2024-03-31 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 29 30 44 49 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 March 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd66th
  • low10th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread36th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 68 of each

1578times
2964times
3056times
4461times
49

Prize breakdown · 2024-03-24

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.2Mto 389k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • 4+115%€189.1K
  • 2+032%€388.9K
  • 0+129%€356.1K
  • 4 other tiers24%€295.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.12 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

70times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 73 of each

280times

Every number was expected about that many times after 732 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (30, 44, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 November 2017 — its closest relative in 732 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 March 2024): 49 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

167

The numbers add up to 167 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 1.1 by chance
no winners
  • 4+118≈ 31 by chance€10,505
  • 4+0192≈ 275 by chance€177
  • 3+1801≈ 1.5k by chance€48.42
  • 3+07,886≈ 13k by chance€15.98
  • 2+113,316≈ 23k by chance€7.28
  • 2+0129,644≈ 206k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1237,429≈ 237k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 801 winners, 45% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+118€10,505
    4+0192€177
    3+1801€48.42
    3+07,886€15.98
    2+113,316€7.28
    2+0129,644€3.00
    0+1237,429€1.50