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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 10 July 2011

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 16
  3. 29
  4. 33
  5. 43
  6. 1

Jackpot€24,379,351

The crowdHeld 22% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 80 of 868 under them

← 2011-07-03All recent draws2011-07-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 16 29 33 43 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 July 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 67% of every possible ticket.

  • sum41th
  • odd90th
  • low34th
  • widest gap21th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread36th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

96times
165times
2910times
338times
43

Prize breakdown · 2011-07-10

  • Lines in play≈ 7.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.5Mto 769k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • 5+013%€325.2K
  • 2+035%€876.4K
  • 0+126%€647.8K
  • 5 other tiers26%€660.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.23 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

6times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

16times

Every number was expected about that many times after 79 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (29, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 May 2011 — its closest relative in 79 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 July 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

130

The numbers add up to 130 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+02≈ 2.0 by chance€162,625
  • 4+133≈ 55 by chance€1,792
  • 4+0346≈ 499 by chance€199
  • 3+11,551≈ 2.7k by chance€50.84
  • 3+017,655≈ 24k by chance€14.51
  • 2+125,142≈ 42k by chance€7.84
  • 2+0292,139≈ 376k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1431,854≈ 432k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 1,551 winners, 42% fewer than the 2.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€162,625
    4+133€1,792
    4+0346€199
    3+11,551€50.84
    3+017,655€14.51
    2+125,142€7.84
    2+0292,139€3.00
    0+1431,854€1.50