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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 11 March 2012

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 8
  3. 16
  4. 21
  5. 53
  6. 9

Jackpot€16,073,587

The crowdHeld 35% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 115 of 868 under them

← 2012-03-04All recent draws2012-03-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 8 16 21 53 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 March 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.

  • sum15th
  • odd34th
  • low90th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

411times
88times
168times
219times
53

Prize breakdown · 2012-03-11

  • Lines in play≈ 7.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.4Mto 755k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • 4+115%€355.3K
  • 2+033%€767.6K
  • 0+129%€682.1K
  • 4 other tiers24%€555.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.24 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

11times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

912times

Every number was expected about that many times after 114 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 16, 21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 November 2011 — its closest relative in 114 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 35% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 March 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

102

The numbers add up to 102 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 49 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 2.1 by chance
no winners
  • 4+134≈ 58 by chance€10,451
  • 4+0318≈ 526 by chance€201
  • 3+11,671≈ 2.8k by chance€43.62
  • 3+017,210≈ 25k by chance€13.76
  • 2+125,522≈ 44k by chance€7.14
  • 2+0255,856≈ 395k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1454,721≈ 455k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 25,522 winners, 42% fewer than the 44k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+134€10,451
    4+0318€201
    3+11,671€43.62
    3+017,210€13.76
    2+125,522€7.14
    2+0255,856€3.00
    0+1454,721€1.50