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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 14 May 2023

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 15
  3. 16
  4. 33
  5. 45
  6. 4

Jackpot€7,100,000

The crowdHeld 35% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 688 of 869 under them

← 2023-05-07All recent draws2023-05-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 15 16 33 45 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.

  • sum31th
  • odd90th
  • low66th
  • widest gap45th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread36th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 64 of each

1176times
1572times
1656times
3368times
45

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-14

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€8.5Mto 449k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+11 winnerchance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • 5+185%€7.2M
  • 2+05.3%€454.4K
  • 0+14.7%€403.3K
  • 5 other tiers5.3%€455.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 5+11≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

64times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 69 of each

459times

Every number was expected about that many times after 687 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 16, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 January 2021 — its closest relative in 687 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 May 2023): 16 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 4 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

120

The numbers add up to 120 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€7,228,021
  • 5+00≈ 1.3 by chanceno winners
  • 4+116≈ 35 by chance€11,111
  • 4+0210≈ 311 by chance€152
  • 3+11,134≈ 1.7k by chance€32.16
  • 3+010,196≈ 15k by chance€11.62
  • 2+117,378≈ 26k by chance€5.25
  • 2+0151,464≈ 234k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1268,843≈ 269k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 151,464 winners, 35% fewer than the 234k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+11€7,228,021
    5+00€0.00
    4+116€11,111
    4+0210€152
    3+11,134€32.16
    3+010,196€11.62
    2+117,378€5.25
    2+0151,464€3.00
    0+1268,843€1.50