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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 20 December 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 16
  3. 23
  4. 24
  5. 31
  6. 7

Jackpot€14,437,788

The crowdHeld 53% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 312 of 868 under them

← 2015-12-13All recent draws2015-12-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 16 23 24 31 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 December 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum12th
  • odd34th
  • low90th
  • widest gap16th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

427times
1626times
2335times
2427times
31

Prize breakdown · 2015-12-20

  • Lines in play≈ 6.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€16.6Mto 617k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+11 winnerchance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • 5+190%€14.9M
  • 2+03.0%€503.5K
  • 0+13.7%€612.6K
  • 5 other tiers3.2%€531.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. 5+11≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

32times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each

738times

Every number was expected about that many times after 311 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 23, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 April 2014 — its closest relative in 311 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 December 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

98

The numbers add up to 98 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 41 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€14,932,785
  • 5+00≈ 1.9 by chanceno winners
  • 4+152≈ 52 by chance€3,986
  • 4+0268≈ 472 by chance€139
  • 3+11,987≈ 2.5k by chance€21.40
  • 3+012,081≈ 23k by chance€11.44
  • 2+126,810≈ 39k by chance€3.97
  • 2+0167,824≈ 355k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1408,421≈ 408k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 167,824 winners, 53% fewer than the 355k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+11€14,932,785
    5+00€0.00
    4+152€3,986
    4+0268€139
    3+11,987€21.40
    3+012,081€11.44
    2+126,810€3.97
    2+0167,824€3.00
    0+1408,421€1.50