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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 20 October 2024

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 11
  3. 16
  4. 21
  5. 50
  6. 4

Jackpot€5,200,000

The crowdHeld 38% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 763 of 869 under them

← 2024-10-13All recent draws2024-10-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 11 16 21 50 + 413 Sept 2026, 21:10 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd34th
  • low90th
  • widest gap92th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 71 of each

872times
1189times
1660times
2170times
50

Prize breakdown · 2024-10-20

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.2Mto 395k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 4+114%€163.4K
  • 2+033%€390.1K
  • 0+131%€360.1K
  • 4 other tiers22%€255.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

69times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 76 of each

471times

Every number was expected about that many times after 762 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 11, 50) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 December 2022 — its closest relative in 762 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 October 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

50 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 1.1 by chance
no winners
  • 4+123≈ 31 by chance€7,103
  • 4+0179≈ 278 by chance€164
  • 3+11,057≈ 1.5k by chance€31.70
  • 3+08,303≈ 13k by chance€13.12
  • 2+115,148≈ 23k by chance€5.53
  • 2+0130,018≈ 209k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1240,081≈ 240k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 130,018 winners, 38% fewer than the 209k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+123€7,103
    4+0179€164
    3+11,057€31.70
    3+08,303€13.12
    2+115,148€5.53
    2+0130,018€3.00
    0+1240,081€1.50