LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 5 August 2018

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 12
  3. 16
  4. 23
  5. 53
  6. 0

Jackpot€12,400,000

The crowdHeld 3% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 449 of 868 under them

← 2018-07-29All recent draws2018-08-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 12 16 23 53 + 029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd66th
  • low90th
  • widest gap94th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread90th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 41 of each

532times
1246times
1633times
2348times
53

Prize breakdown · 2018-08-05

  • Lines in play≈ 3.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 385k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€156.2K
  • 2+039%€497.1K
  • 0+123%€293.4K
  • 5 other tiers25%€317.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.10 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

47times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 45 of each

043times

Every number was expected about that many times after 448 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 16, 53) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 March 2016 — its closest relative in 448 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 July 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

109

The numbers add up to 109 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 45 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 0.92 by chance€156,242
  • 4+15≈ 25 by chance€5,682
  • 4+0202≈ 226 by chance€164
  • 3+1686≈ 1.2k by chance€55.21
  • 3+010,978≈ 11k by chance€11.21
  • 2+111,535≈ 19k by chance€8.21
  • 2+0165,703≈ 170k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1195,575≈ 196k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 686 winners, 43% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€156,242
    4+15€5,682
    4+0202€164
    3+1686€55.21
    3+010,978€11.21
    2+111,535€8.21
    2+0165,703€3.00
    0+1195,575€1.50