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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 22 September 2024

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 11
  3. 16
  4. 32
  5. 37
  6. 0

Jackpot€4,800,000

The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 759 of 869 under them

← 2024-09-15All recent draws2024-09-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 11 16 32 37 + 029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 September 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 74% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread30th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 70 of each

561times
1187times
1659times
3267times
37

Prize breakdown · 2024-09-22

  • Lines in play≈ 2.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.1Mto 326k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • 4+115%€160.6K
  • 2+038%€404.3K
  • 0+124%€257.7K
  • 4 other tiers23%€251.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.09 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

81times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 76 of each

072times

Every number was expected about that many times after 758 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 32, 37) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 December 2014 — its closest relative in 758 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 September 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 0.81 by chance
no winners
  • 4+113≈ 22 by chance€12,357
  • 4+0174≈ 199 by chance€166
  • 3+1649≈ 1.1k by chance€50.77
  • 3+08,371≈ 9.5k by chance€12.79
  • 2+19,835≈ 17k by chance€8.38
  • 2+0134,761≈ 149k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1171,798≈ 172k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 9,835 winners, 41% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+113€12,357
    4+0174€166
    3+1649€50.77
    3+08,371€12.79
    2+19,835€8.38
    2+0134,761€3.00
    0+1171,798€1.50