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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 21 February 2021

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 16
  3. 37
  4. 40
  5. 46
  6. 4

Jackpot€14,500,000

The crowdHeld 45% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 572 of 869 under them

← 2021-02-14All recent draws2021-02-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 16 37 40 46 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.

  • sum61th
  • odd10th
  • low34th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread51th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 53 of each

852times
1644times
3758times
4051times
46

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-21

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 453k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 5+013%€185.7K
  • 2+029%€415.8K
  • 0+131%€433.4K
  • 5 other tiers27%€377K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

41times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 57 of each

446times

Every number was expected about that many times after 571 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 40, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 April 2019 — its closest relative in 571 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 February 2021): 37 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

147

The numbers add up to 147 — the 60th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.4 by chance€185,694
  • 4+116≈ 37 by chance€2,110
  • 4+0153≈ 334 by chance€257
  • 3+1912≈ 1.8k by chance€49.36
  • 3+08,262≈ 16k by chance€17.71
  • 2+116,102≈ 28k by chance€6.99
  • 2+0138,608≈ 251k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1288,914≈ 289k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 912 winners, 49% fewer than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€185,694
    4+116€2,110
    4+0153€257
    3+1912€49.36
    3+08,262€17.71
    2+116,102€6.99
    2+0138,608€3.00
    0+1288,914€1.50