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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 3 September 2023

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 31
  3. 40
  4. 46
  5. 54
  6. 0

Jackpot€5,700,000

The crowdHeld 28% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 704 of 869 under them

← 2023-08-27All recent draws2023-09-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 31 40 46 54 + 029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd10th
  • low10th
  • widest gap32th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread51th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 65 of each

1657times
3166times
4061times
4653times
54

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-03

  • Lines in play≈ 3.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.1Mto 309k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • 4+118%€202.6K
  • 2+030%€335.4K
  • 0+124%€269.5K
  • 4 other tiers28%€316.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.09 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

67times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 70 of each

065times

Every number was expected about that many times after 703 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (31, 40, 54) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 July 2023 — its closest relative in 703 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

187

The numbers add up to 187 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 0.85 by chance
no winners
  • 4+111≈ 23 by chance€18,419
  • 4+0121≈ 208 by chance€301
  • 3+1664≈ 1.1k by chance€62.59
  • 3+06,431≈ 10.0k by chance€21.00
  • 2+19,924≈ 17k by chance€10.47
  • 2+0111,805≈ 156k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1179,665≈ 180k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 9,924 winners, 43% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+111€18,419
    4+0121€301
    3+1664€62.59
    3+06,431€21.00
    2+19,924€10.47
    2+0111,805€3.00
    0+1179,665€1.50