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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 16 May 2010

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 11
  3. 22
  4. 29
  5. 31
  6. 7

Jackpot€10,175,893

The crowdHeld 51% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 20 of 869 under them

← 2010-05-09All recent draws2010-05-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 11 22 29 31 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 May 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum12th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

42times
111time
224times
293times
31

Prize breakdown · 2010-05-16

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.6Mto 955k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€283.9K
  • 2+031%€799.1K
  • 0+136%€939.2K
  • 5 other tiers22%€576.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.33 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

2times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

70times

Every number was expected about that many times after 19 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (4, 22) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 May 2010 — its closest relative in 19 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 May 2010): 22 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

97

The numbers add up to 97 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
5≈ 3.0 by chance
€56,773
  • 4+152≈ 80 by chance€993
  • 4+0418≈ 724 by chance€144
  • 3+12,735≈ 3.9k by chance€25.16
  • 3+018,996≈ 35k by chance€11.77
  • 2+140,260≈ 60k by chance€4.27
  • 2+0266,359≈ 544k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1626,153≈ 626k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 266,359 winners, 51% fewer than the 544k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+05€56,773
    4+152€993
    4+0418€144
    3+12,735€25.16
    3+018,996€11.77
    2+140,260€4.27
    2+0266,359€3.00
    0+1626,153€1.50