LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 20 August 2017

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 14
  3. 18
  4. 35
  5. 50
  6. 5

Jackpot€8,072,885

The crowdHeld 56% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 399 of 868 under them

← 2017-08-13All recent draws2017-08-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 14 18 35 50 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 August 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

77oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 77 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.

  • sum39th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap45th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread55th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 37 of each

1147times
1441times
1831times
3529times
50

Prize breakdown · 2017-08-20

  • Lines in play≈ 5.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 493k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€164.8K
  • 2+028%€387K
  • 0+136%€503K
  • 5 other tiers24%€334.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

26times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 40 of each

539times

Every number was expected about that many times after 398 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 35, 50) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 October 2013 — its closest relative in 398 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 78% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 August 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

128

The numbers add up to 128 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.6 by chance€164,804
  • 4+133≈ 43 by chance€908
  • 4+0157≈ 388 by chance€223
  • 3+11,172≈ 2.1k by chance€34.09
  • 3+07,802≈ 19k by chance€16.64
  • 2+119,205≈ 32k by chance€5.20
  • 2+0128,991≈ 292k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1335,300≈ 335k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 7,802 winners, 58% fewer than the 19k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€164,804
    4+133€908
    4+0157€223
    3+11,172€34.09
    3+07,802€16.64
    2+119,205€5.20
    2+0128,991€3.00
    0+1335,300€1.50