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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 2 October 2011

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 15
  3. 19
  4. 27
  5. 35
  6. 9

Jackpot€5,706,378

The crowdHeld 22% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 92 of 868 under them

← 2011-09-25All recent draws2011-10-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 15 19 27 35 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 October 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

26oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd99th
  • low90th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread11th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

1111times
1512times
191time
277times
35

Prize breakdown · 2011-10-02

  • Lines in play≈ 6.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.1Mto 722k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€224.4K
  • 2+039%€817.7K
  • 0+129%€600.3K
  • 5 other tiers22%€455.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

10times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

99times

Every number was expected about that many times after 91 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (11, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 September 2011 — its closest relative in 91 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 September 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

107

The numbers add up to 107 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 88 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.9 by chance€224,446
  • 4+152≈ 51 by chance€785
  • 4+0467≈ 463 by chance€102
  • 3+11,987≈ 2.5k by chance€27.38
  • 3+019,681≈ 22k by chance€8.99
  • 2+127,377≈ 39k by chance€4.97
  • 2+0272,582≈ 348k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1400,192≈ 400k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 27,377 winners, 29% fewer than the 39k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€224,446
    4+152€785
    4+0467€102
    3+11,987€27.38
    3+019,681€8.99
    2+127,377€4.97
    2+0272,582€3.00
    0+1400,192€1.50