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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 11 September 2016

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 15
  3. 39
  4. 42
  5. 48
  6. 4

Jackpot€14,255,171

The crowdHeld 41% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 350 of 868 under them

← 2016-09-04All recent draws2016-09-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 15 39 42 48 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 September 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.

  • sum69th
  • odd66th
  • low34th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 32 of each

1142times
1541times
3936times
4228times
48

Prize breakdown · 2016-09-11

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.5Mto 477k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • 4+115%€216K
  • 2+031%€457.7K
  • 0+131%€444.9K
  • 4 other tiers23%€337.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.16 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

36times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each

424times

Every number was expected about that many times after 349 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (11, 15, 42, 48) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 March 2015 — its closest relative in 349 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 2.7% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 September 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

155

The numbers add up to 155 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 1.4 by chance
no winners
  • 4+113≈ 38 by chance€16,615
  • 4+0212≈ 343 by chance€183
  • 3+1979≈ 1.8k by chance€45.26
  • 3+09,492≈ 16k by chance€15.17
  • 2+117,000≈ 29k by chance€6.52
  • 2+0152,564≈ 258k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1296,608≈ 297k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 979 winners, 46% fewer than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+113€16,615
    4+0212€183
    3+1979€45.26
    3+09,492€15.17
    2+117,000€6.52
    2+0152,564€3.00
    0+1296,608€1.50