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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 16 July 2023

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 31
  3. 40
  4. 44
  5. 54
  6. 8

Jackpot€7,100,000

The crowdHeld 45% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 697 of 869 under them

← 2023-07-09All recent draws2023-07-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 31 40 44 54 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.

  • sum89th
  • odd34th
  • low10th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread71th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 64 of each

1179times
3164times
4060times
4458times
54

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-16

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.2Mto 383k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 5+014%€170.2K
  • 2+028%€350K
  • 0+130%€368.5K
  • 5 other tiers28%€345.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

66times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 70 of each

871times

Every number was expected about that many times after 696 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (44, 54) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 December 2022 — its closest relative in 696 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

180

The numbers add up to 180 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 1.2 by chance
€85,090
  • 4+116≈ 32 by chance€1,934
  • 4+0131≈ 284 by chance€276
  • 3+1803≈ 1.5k by chance€51.38
  • 3+06,733≈ 14k by chance€19.91
  • 2+112,839≈ 24k by chance€8.03
  • 2+0116,673≈ 214k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1245,695≈ 246k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 6,733 winners, 51% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€85,090
    4+116€1,934
    4+0131€276
    3+1803€51.38
    3+06,733€19.91
    2+112,839€8.03
    2+0116,673€3.00
    0+1245,695€1.50