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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 22 March 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 15
  3. 36
  4. 42
  5. 48
  6. 4

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 40% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 273 of 868 under them

← 2015-03-15All recent draws2015-03-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 15 36 42 48 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 March 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

71oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 95% of every possible ticket.

  • sum66th
  • odd34th
  • low34th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

1133times
1529times
3629times
4217times
48

Prize breakdown · 2015-03-22

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€6.9Mto 469k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+11 winnerchance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 5+180%€5.5M
  • 2+06.6%€450.4K
  • 0+16.3%€434.8K
  • 6 other tiers7.5%€512.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 5+11≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

27times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each

416times

Every number was expected about that many times after 272 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 42, 48) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 February 2014 — its closest relative in 272 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 64% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 March 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

152

The numbers add up to 152 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,460,587
  • 5+02≈ 1.4 by chance€84,594
  • 4+127≈ 37 by chance€1,139
  • 4+0273≈ 335 by chance€131
  • 3+11,138≈ 1.8k by chance€36.04
  • 3+09,922≈ 16k by chance€13.43
  • 2+117,426≈ 28k by chance€5.88
  • 2+0150,119≈ 252k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1289,838≈ 290k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 150,119 winners, 40% fewer than the 252k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+11€5,460,587
    5+02€84,594
    4+127€1,139
    4+0273€131
    3+11,138€36.04
    3+09,922€13.43
    2+117,426€5.88
    2+0150,119€3.00
    0+1289,838€1.50