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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 14 March 2021

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 20
  2. 32
  3. 34
  4. 39
  5. 48
  6. 4

Jackpot€17,000,000

The crowdHeld 48% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 575 of 869 under them

← 2021-03-07All recent draws2021-03-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed20 32 34 39 48 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 March 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd10th
  • low10th
  • widest gap16th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 53 of each

2054times
3255times
3468times
3955times
48

Prize breakdown · 2021-03-14

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 452k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 5+014%€197.6K
  • 2+028%€401.9K
  • 0+131%€440.7K
  • 5 other tiers28%€401.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

54times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 57 of each

447times

Every number was expected about that many times after 574 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (32, 34, 48) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 July 2017 — its closest relative in 574 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 March 2021): 48 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

173

The numbers add up to 173 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.4 by chance€197,630
  • 4+121≈ 38 by chance€1,711
  • 4+0169≈ 340 by chance€248
  • 3+1893≈ 1.8k by chance€53.65
  • 3+08,039≈ 16k by chance€19.37
  • 2+114,834≈ 28k by chance€8.07
  • 2+0133,961≈ 255k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1293,811≈ 294k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 893 winners, 51% fewer than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€197,630
    4+121€1,711
    4+0169€248
    3+1893€53.65
    3+08,039€19.37
    2+114,834€8.07
    2+0133,961€3.00
    0+1293,811€1.50