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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 4 August 2024

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 21
  2. 34
  3. 36
  4. 41
  5. 48
  6. 8

Jackpot€19,000,000

The crowdHeld 44% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 752 of 869 under them

← 2024-07-28All recent draws2024-08-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 34 36 41 48 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum89th
  • odd34th
  • low10th
  • widest gap21th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 70 of each

2168times
3491times
3666times
4164times
48

Prize breakdown · 2024-08-04

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€20.4Mto 412k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+11 winnerchance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • 5+194%€19.1M
  • 2+01.9%€382.6K
  • 0+11.9%€391.9K
  • 6 other tiers2.6%€522.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. 5+11≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

72times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 75 of each

877times

Every number was expected about that many times after 751 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (21, 34, 36, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 May 2015 — its closest relative in 751 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 5.7% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 July 2024): 21, 41 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

180

The numbers add up to 180 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€19,068,082
  • 5+01≈ 1.2 by chance€172,311
  • 4+111≈ 34 by chance€2,848
  • 4+0182≈ 302 by chance€201
  • 3+1900≈ 1.6k by chance€46.41
  • 3+08,066≈ 15k by chance€16.83
  • 2+114,197≈ 25k by chance€7.36
  • 2+0127,542≈ 227k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1261,289≈ 261k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 8,066 winners, 44% fewer than the 15k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+11€19,068,082
    5+01€172,311
    4+111€2,848
    4+0182€201
    3+1900€46.41
    3+08,066€16.83
    2+114,197€7.36
    2+0127,542€3.00
    0+1261,289€1.50