LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 16 November 2014

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 22
  2. 40
  3. 42
  4. 46
  5. 48
  6. 5

Jackpot€9,815,919

The crowdHeld 62% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 255 of 868 under them

← 2014-11-09All recent draws2014-11-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed22 40 42 46 48 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 November 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd1th
  • low10th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread14th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each

2225times
4022times
4215times
4621times
48

Prize breakdown · 2014-11-16

  • Lines in play≈ 6.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.6Mto 548k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • 5+013%€206.6K
  • 2+024%€388.2K
  • 0+137%€586.3K
  • 5 other tiers26%€419.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.20 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

24times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

524times

Every number was expected about that many times after 254 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (22, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 June 2014 — its closest relative in 254 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 November 2014): 46 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

198

The numbers add up to 198 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
3≈ 1.8 by chance
€68,864
  • 4+131≈ 50 by chance€1,212
  • 4+0204≈ 452 by chance€215
  • 3+11,174≈ 2.4k by chance€42.66
  • 3+08,056≈ 22k by chance€20.20
  • 2+118,626≈ 38k by chance€6.72
  • 2+0129,415≈ 340k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1390,869≈ 391k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 8,056 winners, 63% fewer than the 22k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+03€68,864
    4+131€1,212
    4+0204€215
    3+11,174€42.66
    3+08,056€20.20
    2+118,626€6.72
    2+0129,415€3.00
    0+1390,869€1.50