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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 17 May 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 21
  2. 34
  3. 36
  4. 48
  5. 52
  6. 7

Jackpot€7,739,376

The crowdHeld 63% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 281 of 868 under them

← 2015-05-10All recent draws2015-05-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 34 36 48 52 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 May 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum94th
  • odd10th
  • low10th
  • widest gap21th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread27th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

2125times
3426times
3630times
4828times
52

Prize breakdown · 2015-05-17

  • Lines in play≈ 6.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.5Mto 520k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • 4+115%€227.5K
  • 2+024%€362.6K
  • 0+137%€559.5K
  • 4 other tiers24%€356K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.20 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

21times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each

729times

Every number was expected about that many times after 280 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (36, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 March 2015 — its closest relative in 280 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 May 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

191

The numbers add up to 191 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 1.8 by chance
no winners
  • 4+117≈ 48 by chance€13,384
  • 4+0131≈ 431 by chance€312
  • 3+11,101≈ 2.3k by chance€42.39
  • 3+07,300≈ 21k by chance€20.78
  • 2+117,962≈ 36k by chance€6.50
  • 2+0120,864≈ 324k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1373,031≈ 373k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 7,300 winners, 65% fewer than the 21k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+117€13,384
    4+0131€312
    3+11,101€42.39
    3+07,300€20.78
    2+117,962€6.50
    2+0120,864€3.00
    0+1373,031€1.50