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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 31 October 2021

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 10
  3. 18
  4. 34
  5. 48
  6. 7

Jackpot€9,500,000

The crowdHeld 55% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 608 of 869 under them

← 2021-10-24All recent draws2021-11-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 10 18 34 48 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum25th
  • odd1th
  • low66th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 56 of each

451times
1054times
1851times
3473times
48

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-31

  • Lines in play≈ 6.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€11.2Mto 542k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+11 winnerchance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • 5+186%€9.6M
  • 2+03.9%€434.3K
  • 0+14.9%€549.3K
  • 6 other tiers4.9%€544.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 5+11≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

58times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each

762times

Every number was expected about that many times after 607 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 18, 34) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 October 2015 — its closest relative in 607 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 October 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

114

The numbers add up to 114 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 41 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€9,624,157
  • 5+02≈ 1.7 by chance€89,910
  • 4+145≈ 47 by chance€727
  • 4+0190≈ 423 by chance€201
  • 3+11,233≈ 2.3k by chance€35.36
  • 3+08,943≈ 20k by chance€15.84
  • 2+120,781≈ 35k by chance€5.24
  • 2+0144,778≈ 318k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1366,207≈ 366k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 8,943 winners, 56% fewer than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+11€9,624,157
    5+02€89,910
    4+145€727
    4+0190€201
    3+11,233€35.36
    3+08,943€15.84
    2+120,781€5.24
    2+0144,778€3.00
    0+1366,207€1.50