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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 18 September 2011

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 14
  3. 27
  4. 37
  5. 48
  6. 9

The crowdHeld 30% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 90 of 869 under them

← 2011-09-11All recent draws2011-09-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 14 27 37 48 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 September 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

72oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 72 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.

  • sum51th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap21th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread44th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

1211times
1413times
276times
379times
48

Prize breakdown · 2011-09-18

  • Lines in play≈ 6.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.1Mto 677k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€252.9K
  • 2+035%€724K
  • 0+128%€593.3K
  • 5 other tiers25%€513.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

3times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

98times

Every number was expected about that many times after 89 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 27, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 4 July 2010 — its closest relative in 89 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 29% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 September 2011): 27 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 50th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+02≈ 1.9 by chance€126,433
  • 4+131≈ 51 by chance€1,483
  • 4+0327≈ 457 by chance€164
  • 3+11,395≈ 2.4k by chance€43.94
  • 3+015,199≈ 22k by chance€13.11
  • 2+123,319≈ 38k by chance€6.57
  • 2+0241,331≈ 344k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1395,514≈ 396k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 1,395 winners, 43% fewer than the 2.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€126,433
    4+131€1,483
    4+0327€164
    3+11,395€43.94
    3+015,199€13.11
    2+123,319€6.57
    2+0241,331€3.00
    0+1395,514€1.50