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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 3 October 2021

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 33
  2. 43
  3. 44
  4. 45
  5. 46
  6. 4

Jackpot€7,100,000

The crowdHeld 46% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 604 of 869 under them

← 2021-09-26All recent draws2021-10-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed33 43 44 45 46 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

15oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 15 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd66th
  • low1th
  • widest gap9th
  • neighbours100th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 56 of each

3361times
4353times
4451times
4557times
46

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-03

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 447k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 5+013%€187.6K
  • 2+029%€402.5K
  • 0+131%€431.9K
  • 5 other tiers27%€380.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.15 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

44times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 60 of each

450times

Every number was expected about that many times after 603 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (45, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 August 2021 — its closest relative in 603 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 September 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

211

The numbers add up to 211 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 43–44, 44–45, 45–46. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 1.4 by chance
€93,815
  • 4+125≈ 37 by chance€1,365
  • 4+0221≈ 333 by chance€180
  • 3+1936≈ 1.8k by chance€48.60
  • 3+08,202≈ 16k by chance€18.02
  • 2+115,157≈ 28k by chance€7.50
  • 2+0134,151≈ 250k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1287,922≈ 288k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 8,202 winners, 49% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€93,815
    4+125€1,365
    4+0221€180
    3+1936€48.60
    3+08,202€18.02
    2+115,157€7.50
    2+0134,151€3.00
    0+1287,922€1.50