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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 16 January 2011

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 6
  3. 13
  4. 40
  5. 45
  6. 3

Jackpot€10,982,688

The crowdHeld 45% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 55 of 868 under them

← 2011-01-09All recent draws2011-01-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 6 13 40 45 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 January 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each

13times
63times
133times
406times
45

Prize breakdown · 2011-01-16

  • Lines in play≈ 10.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€15.2Mto 945k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+12 winnerschance said 0.31

Where the money went

  • 5+182%€12.4M
  • 2+05.7%€864.2K
  • 0+15.9%€900.9K
  • 6 other tiers6.7%€1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 5+12≈ 0.31 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

7times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each

32times

Every number was expected about that many times after 54 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (6, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 August 2010 — its closest relative in 54 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 January 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

105

The numbers add up to 105 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€6,186,756
  • 5+02≈ 2.8 by chance€167,888
  • 4+140≈ 77 by chance€1,526
  • 4+0348≈ 694 by chance€205
  • 3+12,250≈ 3.7k by chance€36.18
  • 3+017,933≈ 33k by chance€14.75
  • 2+135,816≈ 58k by chance€5.68
  • 2+0288,066≈ 522k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1600,590≈ 601k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4+0 — 348 winners, 50% fewer than the 694 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+12€6,186,756
    5+02€167,888
    4+140€1,526
    4+0348€205
    3+12,250€36.18
    3+017,933€14.75
    2+135,816€5.68
    2+0288,066€3.00
    0+1600,590€1.50