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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 29 August 2021

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 19
  3. 23
  4. 45
  5. 46
  6. 8

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 36% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 599 of 869 under them

← 2021-08-22All recent draws2021-09-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 19 23 45 46 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.

  • sum54th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap72th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread51th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each

854times
1948times
2359times
4555times
46

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-29

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 425k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€159.3K
  • 2+033%€426.5K
  • 0+130%€385K
  • 5 other tiers25%€323.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

43times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 60 of each

861times

Every number was expected about that many times after 598 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 19, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 August 2014 — its closest relative in 598 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 August 2021): 46 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

141

The numbers add up to 141 — the 53th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 45–46. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.2 by chance€159,255
  • 4+121≈ 33 by chance€1,379
  • 4+0212≈ 297 by chance€159
  • 3+11,060≈ 1.6k by chance€36.42
  • 3+09,035≈ 14k by chance€13.89
  • 2+116,162≈ 25k by chance€5.97
  • 2+0142,182≈ 223k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1256,658≈ 257k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 9,035 winners, 37% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€159,255
    4+121€1,379
    4+0212€159
    3+11,060€36.42
    3+09,035€13.89
    2+116,162€5.97
    2+0142,182€3.00
    0+1256,658€1.50