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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 4 September 2011

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 12
  3. 24
  4. 34
  5. 45
  6. 9

The crowdHeld 28% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 88 of 868 under them

← 2011-08-28All recent draws2011-09-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 12 24 34 45 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 September 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum32th
  • odd10th
  • low66th
  • widest gap16th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread55th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

66times
1210times
249times
346times
45

Prize breakdown · 2011-09-04

  • Lines in play≈ 6.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€7.1Mto 690k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+11 winnerchance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • 5+171%€5M
  • 2+011%€746.1K
  • 0+18.4%€595.5K
  • 6 other tiers11%€745.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 5+11≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

11times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

97times

Every number was expected about that many times after 87 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 24, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 February 2010 — its closest relative in 87 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 28% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 August 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

121

The numbers add up to 121 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • 5+04≈ 1.9 by chance€61,493
  • 4+139≈ 51 by chance€1,147
  • 4+0404≈ 459 by chance€129
  • 3+11,665≈ 2.4k by chance€35.81
  • 3+018,309≈ 22k by chance€10.58
  • 2+124,305≈ 38k by chance€6.13
  • 2+0248,684≈ 345k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1396,999≈ 397k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 24,305 winners, 37% fewer than the 38k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+11€5,000,000
    5+04€61,493
    4+139€1,147
    4+0404€129
    3+11,665€35.81
    3+018,309€10.58
    2+124,305€6.13
    2+0248,684€3.00
    0+1396,999€1.50