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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 13 March 2011

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 20
  2. 25
  3. 29
  4. 53
  5. 54
  6. 3

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 53% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 63 of 868 under them

← 2011-03-06All recent draws2011-03-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed20 25 29 53 54 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 March 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.

  • sum90th
  • odd66th
  • low34th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread36th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 6 of each

206times
254times
297times
535times
54

Prize breakdown · 2011-03-13

  • Lines in play≈ 8.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.5Mto 792k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • 5+014%€333.5K
  • 2+027%€657.3K
  • 0+132%€799.1K
  • 5 other tiers27%€677.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

5times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 6 of each

34times

Every number was expected about that many times after 62 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (29, 54) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 September 2010 — its closest relative in 62 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 March 2011): 25 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

181

The numbers add up to 181 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 53–54. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 2.5 by chance€333,547
  • 4+126≈ 68 by chance€2,333
  • 4+0246≈ 616 by chance€288
  • 3+11,401≈ 3.3k by chance€57.72
  • 3+012,894≈ 30k by chance€20.38
  • 2+125,790≈ 51k by chance€7.84
  • 2+0219,092≈ 463k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1532,756≈ 533k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4+0 — 246 winners, 60% fewer than the 616 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€333,547
    4+126€2,333
    4+0246€288
    3+11,401€57.72
    3+012,894€20.38
    2+125,790€7.84
    2+0219,092€3.00
    0+1532,756€1.50