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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 12 August 2018

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 19
  2. 34
  3. 43
  4. 44
  5. 53
  6. 1

Jackpot€13,100,000

The crowdHeld 36% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 450 of 868 under them

← 2018-08-05All recent draws2018-08-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed19 34 43 44 53 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd66th
  • low10th
  • widest gap32th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread36th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each

1934times
3453times
4333times
4437times
53

Prize breakdown · 2018-08-12

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 371k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • 5+015%€187.2K
  • 2+029%€376.7K
  • 0+126%€338.4K
  • 5 other tiers30%€380.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

48times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 45 of each

143times

Every number was expected about that many times after 449 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (19, 34, 43, 53) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 October 2017 — its closest relative in 449 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 3.4% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 August 2018): 53 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

193

The numbers add up to 193 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 43–44. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.1 by chance€187,247
  • 4+111≈ 29 by chance€3,095
  • 4+0139≈ 261 by chance€286
  • 3+1669≈ 1.4k by chance€67.85
  • 3+07,223≈ 13k by chance€20.42
  • 2+111,565≈ 22k by chance€9.81
  • 2+0125,576≈ 196k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1225,605≈ 226k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 669 winners, 52% fewer than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€187,247
    4+111€3,095
    4+0139€286
    3+1669€67.85
    3+07,223€20.42
    2+111,565€9.81
    2+0125,576€3.00
    0+1225,605€1.50