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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 31 July 2011

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 17
  2. 18
  3. 23
  4. 51
  5. 53
  6. 1

Jackpot€28,660,516

The crowdHeld 28% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 83 of 868 under them

← 2011-07-24All recent draws2011-08-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed17 18 23 51 53 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 July 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.

  • sum76th
  • odd90th
  • low66th
  • widest gap91th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread44th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

175times
189times
239times
5110times
53

Prize breakdown · 2011-07-31

  • Lines in play≈ 7.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.8Mto 813k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • 5+014%€380.9K
  • 2+032%€890.7K
  • 0+126%€706.5K
  • 5 other tiers28%€773.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.25 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

7times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

17times

Every number was expected about that many times after 82 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (18, 51) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 February 2011 — its closest relative in 82 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 July 2011): 51 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

162

The numbers add up to 162 — the 76th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
4≈ 2.2 by chance
€95,216
  • 4+139≈ 61 by chance€1,776
  • 4+0343≈ 545 by chance€236
  • 3+11,532≈ 2.9k by chance€60.27
  • 3+017,500≈ 26k by chance€17.15
  • 2+125,851≈ 46k by chance€8.93
  • 2+0296,915≈ 410k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1470,973≈ 471k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 1,532 winners, 47% fewer than the 2.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+04€95,216
    4+139€1,776
    4+0343€236
    3+11,532€60.27
    3+017,500€17.15
    2+125,851€8.93
    2+0296,915€3.00
    0+1470,973€1.50