LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 21 October 2012

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 21
  2. 34
  3. 43
  4. 53
  5. 54
  6. 7

Jackpot€8,969,902

The crowdHeld 63% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 147 of 868 under them

← 2012-10-14All recent draws2012-10-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 34 43 53 54 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 October 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum98th
  • odd66th
  • low10th
  • widest gap21th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each

2113times
3414times
4311times
5316times
54

Prize breakdown · 2012-10-21

  • Lines in play≈ 8.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.2Mto 734k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • 5+013%€280.4K
  • 2+024%€510.9K
  • 0+137%€789.8K
  • 5 other tiers26%€569.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

14times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

715times

Every number was expected about that many times after 146 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (34, 54) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 October 2012 — its closest relative in 146 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 October 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

205

The numbers add up to 205 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 53–54. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 2.5 by chance€280,386
  • 4+126≈ 68 by chance€1,961
  • 4+0189≈ 609 by chance€315
  • 3+11,541≈ 3.2k by chance€44.11
  • 3+010,490≈ 29k by chance€21.06
  • 2+124,493≈ 51k by chance€6.94
  • 2+0170,296≈ 458k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1526,508≈ 527k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4+0 — 189 winners, 69% fewer than the 609 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€280,386
    4+126€1,961
    4+0189€315
    3+11,541€44.11
    3+010,490€21.06
    2+124,493€6.94
    2+0170,296€3.00
    0+1526,508€1.50