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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 21 July 2024

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 26
  3. 31
  4. 37
  5. 44
  6. 0

Jackpot€18,200,000

The crowdHeld 21% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 750 of 869 under them

← 2024-07-14All recent draws2024-07-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 26 31 37 44 + 029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 84% of every possible ticket.

  • sum52th
  • odd66th
  • low34th
  • widest gap83th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread71th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 69 of each

154times
2667times
3170times
3780times
44

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-21

  • Lines in play≈ 3.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.2Mto 343k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • 4+117%€194.9K
  • 2+033%€393.6K
  • 0+124%€287.1K
  • 4 other tiers26%€304.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.10 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

64times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 75 of each

071times

Every number was expected about that many times after 749 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 26, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 July 2013 — its closest relative in 749 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 July 2024): 31 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

139

The numbers add up to 139 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 0.90 by chance
no winners
  • 4+115≈ 25 by chance€12,990
  • 4+0170≈ 221 by chance€206
  • 3+1712≈ 1.2k by chance€56.14
  • 3+08,156≈ 11k by chance€15.93
  • 2+111,267≈ 18k by chance€8.87
  • 2+0131,215≈ 166k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1191,421≈ 191k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 712 winners, 40% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+115€12,990
    4+0170€206
    3+1712€56.14
    3+08,156€15.93
    2+111,267€8.87
    2+0131,215€3.00
    0+1191,421€1.50